Bihar Election Results 2025: Exit Polls Predict Landslide Win for NDA... Yet Why Is Nitish Kumar Worried? Two Major Reasons Emerge Before the Results

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Bihar Election Results 2025: Most exit polls released before the Bihar Assembly election results on November 14th have predicted landslide victory for the NDA. Survey agencies have reported that the NDA could win 150 to 170 seats, while the Grand Alliance has been predicted to win fewer than 100 seats.

More than a dozen survey companies have predicted Nitish Kumar's return to power in Bihar with a bumper majority. Despite this, there is a cause for concern for the NDA. Two exit polls also claim a victory for the Grand Alliance, while two others predict a close contest.\

Increased voter turnout

The primary reason for Nitish Kumar's sleeplessness is the increased voter turnout in Bihar this time. Overall, 66.91 percent voter turnout was recorded in Bihar. Compared to the previous election, i.e., 2020, this is an increase of approximately 9 percent, which is the primary cause of concern for the NDA.

In Bihar's electoral history, it has been observed several times that when the voting percentage has increased by more than 5 percent, the government has changed. A similar situation was witnessed in 1990. Voter turnout increased by 5.7 percent, and the Congress government was ousted. The Janata Dal returned to power.

Exit polls are not correct

Another reason is that exit polls have proven wrong in the last three elections in Bihar. This is why Nitish Kumar is worried even after most surveys predicted a majority. However, the NDA is hopeful of victory as women have voted in large numbers.

Women voted more than men

According to the Election Commission, women voted more than men. The total voter turnout in Bihar is 66.9 percent. Only 62.8 percent of men voted, while 71.6 percent of women voted, who are considered Nitish Kumar's supporters. Tomorrow is the day of the results, where the full picture will become clear.

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