How prolonged conflict in West Asia affecting India's housing market?

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Impact of the West Asia Conflict on Indian Real Estate: The prolonged conflict and instability in West Asia are now affecting India's housing market. According to a new report by ANAROCK, the war has raised significant concerns for the Indian real estate sector. Disruptions to global supply chains and a sudden surge in freight costs have compounded difficulties for developers. Consequently, homebuyers in seven major Indian cities may face longer waits for their dream homes.

The report notes that several large residential projects launched between 2021 and 2023 have now reached their final construction stages. Developers had set an ambitious target to deliver a record 5.4 lakh residential units in 2026. However, this target now appears to be significantly impacted by the sharp rise in crude oil prices and uncertainties surrounding shipping routes. Project costs are escalating rapidly due to the rising prices of key building materials such as steel and aluminum.

Housing markets of Mumbai and Pune worst hit

According to the ANAROCK report, this geopolitical tension has had the greatest impact on the housing markets of the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) and Pune. In both cities, the total number of homes scheduled for delivery this year represents 57% of the delivery target. Over 2.07 lakh homes are slated for delivery in the MMR during 2026, while in Pune, possession of approximately 1 lakh homes is to be handed over to buyers.

Delivery of over 1.68 lakh homes in major South Indian cities could be affected

The adverse impact of this global crisis is not limited to Maharashtra alone; South India is also grappling with it. Report indicates that the delivery of over 1 lakh 68,000 homes in major South Indian cities could be affected. Specifically, the delivery of 69,000 units in Bengaluru and 63,700 units in Hyderabad faces a significant threat. Additionally, there is a strong likelihood of delays in handing over possession of approximately 35,600 housing units in Chennai.

Real estate experts have drawn parallels between the current situation and the severe COVID-19 lockdown of 2020. In 2020, an ambitious target had been set to deliver a total of 4.66 lakh homes across seven major cities in the country. However, builders were unable to fulfill their commitments due to the lockdown, the sudden exodus of migrant workers, and completely disrupted supply chains. At that time, only 2.14 lakh homes—representing 46% of the target—were handed over to buyers on schedule.

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