23 Jun 2024

ICC T20 World Cup 2024: How Afghanistan's Win Over Australia Affect Team India's Semi-final Prospects?

In a historic match, Afghanistan's cricket team secured its first-ever victory against Australia, defeating the former champions by 21 runs in the Super 8 round of the ICC T20 World Cup 2024. While Afghanistan is traditionally known for its world-class spinners, it was their pace attack that shone, with Gulbadin Naib's four-wicket haul earning him the Player of the Match award. This crucial win keeps Afghanistan's semi-final hopes alive and significantly shakes up Super 8 Group 1.

India leads Super 8 Group 1

India currently leads Super 8 Group 1 with two wins from two matches. Australia and Afghanistan each have one win from two matches, while Bangladesh has lost both of their games.

Australia faces a must-win scenario

Australia, with a Net Run Rate (NRR) of +0.223, faces a must-win scenario against India in their next Super 8 clash. A loss to India could eliminate Australia from the T20 World Cup 2024. Should Australia lose and Afghanistan defeat Bangladesh in their next match, both India and Afghanistan would advance to the semi-finals, knocking Australia out of the tournament.

Victory against Kangaroos would secure India their place in Last 4

For India, a victory against Australia would secure their place in the semi-finals. However, a loss, especially by a big margin, could complicate their progression despite their robust NRR of +2.425. In cricket, even strong positions can be precarious.

Afghanistan, with an NRR of -0.650, must win against Bangladesh to qualify for the semi-finals. Even if Afghanistan loses, they could still advance if the defeat is narrow, provided India defeats Australia by a substantial margin, thus benefiting Afghanistan's NRR.

Bangladesh faces an almost impossible scenario

Bangladesh faces an almost impossible scenario. With two losses and a poor NRR of -2.489, they must not only defeat Afghanistan by a large margin but also hope that India beats Australia comprehensively. This combination of results is highly unlikely.

In summary, Afghanistan's victory over Australia has kept the group wide open, making the upcoming matches crucial for all teams involved. India's path to the semi-finals looks promising but not guaranteed, while Australia and Afghanistan are in a battle for survival. Bangladesh, meanwhile, clings to a slim hope that requires a series of improbable events.

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