The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is currently surging ahead of principal opposition Congress in Madhya Pradesh. The Congress is hoping to return to power in the heartland state, seizing on “anti-incumbency” against the BJP, which has been ruling the since 2003, barring a 15-month period during December 2018-March 2020.
In the early trends, BJP is ahead on 137 seats while Congress is ahead on 89 seats.
What do the exit polls say? Most pollsters have given a clear majority to the BJP with the India Today-Axis My India poll saying it could win between 140 and 162 seats in the 230-member House. The ABP C-Voter survey said the Congress could bag between 113 and 137 seats and the BJP could get between 88 and 112 seats. The Times Now ETG Research poll gave a slight edge to the Congress – 109-125 seats as against the BJP’s 105-117 seats. The News24-Chanakya and India TV CNX polls gave a clear majority to the BJP and so did the survey by Republic TV.
The political futures of incumbent Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, his Congress challenger Kamal Nath, and that of some other senior leaders from both the parties, will be decided through this election — with the big question being whether four-time CM Chouhan can counter anti-incumbency to script the BJP’s victory and retain his chair. In its single-phase polling for its 230 assembly seats on November 17, Madhya Pradesh recorded its highest ever Assembly election turnout at 76.22%. This went up from 75.63% in 2018, which was the previous record high since the state’s formation in 1956.
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